How systematic crypto strategies actually behaved: drawdowns, hit rates and the flow data behind the moves.
17 reports
Strategy backtest visualiser
Twelve months of indexed performance for the systematic strategies the desk tracks. Past behaviour is not a forecast, and the drawdown column matters more than the headline.
Long-only momentum with a volatility filter. Sits in cash when trend strength collapses, which is where most of the drawdown protection comes from.
£5,000
Modelled outcome for Trend following (BTC/ETH) on £5,000 of starting capital
Modelled end value
£8,150
Modelled gain
£3,150
Worst drawdown
-18.4% (£920)
Winning months
47%
Illustrative model. Research only, not investment advice.
Bitcoin's August trading has tracked shifting expectations for the next policy decision more closely than any crypto-native catalyst, with options positioning clustered around the meeting date and spot volumes thinning between it.
Exchange-traded products tracking Solana have accumulated inflows in a steadier, smaller-ticket pattern than the bitcoin funds did at the same stage, suggesting allocation through model portfolios rather than tactical trading.
Tokenised treasuries and money-market funds account for 10 of the 22 programmes in our RWA tracker and the overwhelming majority of value on-chain. The reason is regulatory, not technological, and the concentration carries a cost.
Expanded data availability has driven layer-2 transaction fees to negligible levels, cutting sequencer revenue and reopening the question of how rollups fund themselves long term.
Decentralised GPU networks are reporting paid workloads rather than pilots, making utilisation rates and paid inference hours the metrics that separate genuine demand from emissions-funded activity.
Compressed hashprice has pushed listed bitcoin miners to monetise grid interconnection and power contracts through hosted compute, diversifying revenue away from block rewards.
A positive CryptoxInsights review of IX Swap: a compliant AMM for tokenised securities, wallet-level whitelisting, and a credible attempt to solve secondary liquidity for private-market tokens.
Ethereum's Fusaka hard fork went live in July 2026, expanding blob capacity for rollups via PeerDAS and further tuning the validator set. Layer-2 fees dropped sharply within hours of activation.
US spot bitcoin ETFs returned to net inflows after a prolonged outflow streak, with Fidelity's FBTC and ARK's ARKB leading the recovery even as bitcoin traded in a tight band around $64,000.
Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, continued accumulating bitcoin through 2025, surpassing 555,000 BTC and returning to near-billion-dollar weekly purchases largely funded by stock sales.
BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) became the fastest ETF ever to accumulate $70 billion in assets and grew into one of the firm's top revenue sources, evidence of deep institutional demand.
Gemini Space Station, the Winklevoss twins' crypto exchange, raised $425 million in its IPO priced at $28 and rallied on its Nasdaq debut, part of a wave of 2025 crypto listings.
Circle, the issuer of USDC, priced its upsized IPO at $31 to raise $1.05 billion, then surged around 168% on its NYSE debut, one of the standout crypto listings of 2025.
On 19 May 2025 Coinbase became the first crypto exchange added to the S&P 500, replacing Discover Financial and cementing digital assets' place in mainstream portfolios.
Galaxy Digital moved its listing to the Nasdaq via a direct listing in May 2025, opening at $23.50, after a drawn-out SEC process, and positioned itself around crypto and AI infrastructure.
El Salvador agreed to scale back its pioneering bitcoin legal-tender policy to secure a 40-month, $1.4 billion IMF Extended Fund Facility, a pragmatic retreat from its most radical crypto experiment.
Rafael Duarte · 2025-02-26
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